Lifetime Value (LTV), or Customer Lifetime Value (CLV), is a predictive metric that represents the total net profit a business expects to earn from a single customer over the entire duration of their relationship.
Lifetime Value (LTV) is a crucial metric that forecasts the total revenue a business can reasonably expect from an individual customer account throughout their entire relationship. It shifts the focus from short-term, single-transaction metrics like Average Order Value (AOV) to the long-term profitability of a customer. By considering the full picture of a customer's worth, businesses can make more strategic decisions about marketing, sales, product development, and customer support. Calculating LTV can range from simple to highly complex. A basic formula involves multiplying the average purchase value by the average purchase frequency and the average customer lifespan. More sophisticated models factor in customer retention rates, variable costs, and a discount rate to account for the time value of money, providing a more accurate net profit figure. LTV is often used interchangeably with Customer Lifetime Value (CLV), although some practitioners distinguish LTV as an average across a customer segment and CLV as the value of an individual customer. This metric provides a financial baseline for key marketing and advertising decisions. It helps determine a sustainable Customer Acquisition Cost (CAC), guides customer segmentation strategies, and informs retention efforts. By understanding which types of customers are most valuable over time, companies can tailor their campaigns and product offerings to attract and retain these high-value segments.
For advertisers and marketers, LTV is a north-star metric for assessing the long-term health and profitability of their acquisition strategies. It provides the essential context needed to evaluate marketing spend. Without knowing the LTV of a customer, it's impossible to know if the cost to acquire them (CAC) is profitable. The LTV to CAC ratio is a critical indicator of business viability, with a ratio of 3:1 or higher often cited as a benchmark for a healthy business model. Understanding LTV allows marketers to optimize campaign performance beyond immediate conversions. By analyzing the LTV of customers acquired from different channels—such as social media, search ads, or content marketing—advertisers can identify the most profitable sources and allocate their budgets accordingly. This prevents over-investing in channels that generate low-value customers, even if they have a low initial cost-per-acquisition, thereby maximizing long-term return on investment (ROI).